NEACC

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Forecast Verifications


Skill scores of seasonal forecast

Date
Region
Parameter

Parameter: H500
Region: GLOBUS (90S - 90N; 0 - 360)
Date: 2011-11-01

ModelVerificationsMaps
ROC_AROC_NROC_BRO   ACC  RMSE 
November 2011
PLAV 0.760.620.730.390.6332.48
MGO 0.620.540.630.160.5434.26
PLAV+MGO 0.750.610.730.320.6431.38
December 2011
PLAV 0.630.510.570.20.2945.67
MGO 0.680.650.660.160.2844.61
PLAV+MGO 0.670.630.650.190.3443.68
January 2012
PLAV 0.650.560.490.140.2144.98
MGO 0.660.640.60.18-0.0447.43
PLAV+MGO 0.680.650.570.170.1345.33
Season
PLAV 0.680.60.640.210.4326.08
MGO 0.690.630.720.20.326.63
PLAV+MGO 0.70.640.720.30.4224.91

Skill scores:
ROC_A - ROC Score Above Normal
ROC_N - ROC Score Near Normal
ROC_B - ROC Score Below Normal
RO - sign consistency coefficient
ACC - anomaly correlation coefficient
RMSE - root mean square error

There are not data!